After a delay in reporting enrollment projections due to a mathematical error, Harford County Public Schools has published the following report on enrollment projections through the year 2019. Included in the report is the status of the 78 relocatable classrooms in the county.
Enrollment Projections and Status of Relocatable Classrooms
The information regarding the actual September 30, 2011 student enrollment and school capacities was presented to the Board of Education in November 2011. The data presented in this document regarding the enrollment projections has be verified and submitted to the Board.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY
Attached you will find the final enrollment projections for elementary, middle and high schools. Some highlights include:
– Total school enrollment is expected to remain relatively flat, but projecting a slight decrease to reflect the trend of the past several years.
– Elementary school enrollment is expected to remain flat at 86% to 88% of capacity for the next eight years.
– There are some schools that exceed 100% capacity due to “School Choice” issues. This number will fluctuate from year to year.
– Middle school enrollment is projected to remain flat at 79% to 82% of capacity for the next eight years. Only Bel Air and Patterson Mill middle schools are expected to exceed 100% capacity in future years.
– High school enrollment is projected to remain flat at 82% to 86% of capacity for the next eight years.
– We have seen very little impact on the enrollment and projections related to the recent BRAC initiative.
– As the current economic conditions prevail, existing home sales and new residential subdivision growth have had little impact on projected school enrollment.
STATUS OF RELOCATABLE CLASSROOMS
– Currently, there are a total of 78 reolcatable classrooms in the county.
– Of the 78 units, 66 have been attributed to assisting with capacity issues.
– 60 of those 66 units (90.9%) are available for disposition.
– Currently, 12 of the 78 (15%) units are attributed to program related issues.
– Currently, 60 of the total inventory of the 78 units (76.9%) are available for disposition.
When the economy improves, and the BOE revives the plans for a Medical Arts magnet program at Bel Air High School, they will need some of these relocatables back on campus to handle the additional magnet students.